Flow-Based Density Ratio Estimation for Intractable Distributions with Applications in Genomics

Abstract (source: OpenReview · © authors)

Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions. While exact-likelihood models such as normalizing flows offer a promising approach to density ratio estimation, naive evaluations are computationally expensive and prone to discretization errors because they require simulating each distribution's likelihood independently. In this work, we leverage condition-aware flow matching to derive a single dynamical formulation for tracking density ratios along generative trajectories. We demonstrate competitive performance on simulated benchmarks for closed-form ratio estimation, and show that our method supports versatile tasks in single-cell genomics data analysis, where likelihood-based comparisons of cellular states across experimental conditions enable treatment effect estimation and batch correction evaluation.

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