---
title: "Clinical-trial forecast"
type: skill
id: "life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast"
category: "Clinical & life sciences"
publisher: "Anthropic"
license: "Apache-2.0"
source: "https://github.com/anthropics/life-sciences/tree/0d38fe5"
canonical: "https://labs.pho.chat/en/skills/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast"
open_in_pho: "https://pho.chat/customize?item=life-sciences%2Fclinical-trial-forecast&utm_source=labs&utm_medium=skill-page&utm_campaign=skills-library"
---

# Clinical-trial forecast

Forecasts one registered clinical trial's probability of success from registry records and documents the user supplies: checked research, a critiqued Monte Carlo model, a cited report and a claim ledger. Runs in Claude Science with Delegation on. Use when the user asks for a trial's probability of success, asks whether a named trial (an NCT id) will meet its primary endpoint, or asks to run the clinical-trial-forecast skill.

Source: Anthropic (Apache 2.0), copied at a pinned commit. Free to use. Part of the Phở Skills library (https://labs.pho.chat/en/skills).

## What it covers
- A. Starting the run (Claude Science)
- B. Running the task (the session's lead agent)
  - The workflow, phase by phase
- Files in this skill

## Use it
- In Phở: open https://pho.chat/customize?item=life-sciences%2Fclinical-trial-forecast&utm_source=labs&utm_medium=skill-page&utm_campaign=skills-library and press Try, or add it so Phở loads it whenever a request matches. Phở works with your own API key (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google and others).
- Full instructions (original SKILL.md, unchanged): https://labs.pho.chat/skills/raw/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast/SKILL.md
- Original files: https://github.com/anthropics/life-sciences/tree/0d38fe5 (Apache 2.0).
- Full machine-readable index: https://labs.pho.chat/skills.json